A recent study found Cherie Berry, the N.C. Labor Commissioner, is more likely to be re-elected because her photo is required in every elevator statewide. The study, published online in September, is the work of Jacob Smith, a UNC Ph.D. student in political science, and his former classmate Neil Weinberg.
“I became interested in this topic from just basically riding in elevators all the time,” Smith said.
Smith attended Kenyon College in Ohio for his undergraduate degree, where he noticed significantly fewer elevators than at UNC — a much larger university.
Inspiration came when he was taking a statistics class with Weinberg. Using spatial regression, the two researched how Berry’s photo affected her performance in certain counties.
“This is related to Waldo Tobler’s first law of geography,” Smith said. “For example, things in Orange County are more likely to have effect in Durham County rather than Mecklenburg County.”
The study found Berry faired better in big cities in 2008 — her first re-election after the photos were placed in 2005 — rather than more rural areas with fewer elevators, Smith said.
“We found she overperforms her previous performance but does not overperform other Republicans in the state,” he said. “When you look at 2012, however, she overperforms her previous performance and the others’ performance.”
Dolores Quesenberry, spokesperson for the N.C. Department of Labor, said using Berry’s picture in 2005 wasn’t motivated by future elections.