In North Carolina, the final Saturday of the men’s basketball regular season will always have a special meaning. Each year, the occasion marks the second matchup between UNC and Duke, with both teams typically jockeying for higher NCAA Tournament seeding.
But this season, the stakes will be much different. The two blue blood programs have been unranked since Jan. 18, and neither has solidified an NCAA Tournament bid.
After losing to Syracuse on Monday, UNC must avoid a loss to hold its place in the bracket. Here are three key factors that will dictate the outcome of this critical rivalry showdown.
Hurt vs. UNC’s frontcourt
Over the first month of conference play, Duke’s sophomore forward Matthew Hurt looked like the early leader in the ACC Player of the Year race. Following the departure of first-year forward Jalen Johnson — who left the team on Feb. 15 to prepare for the NBA Draft — Hurt has gotten even better.
In Johnson’s absence, the sophomore has scored over 20 points in three of the last five games, including a 37 point outing against Louisville. At 6-foot-9, Hurt can stretch the floor with his perimeter shooting, as he is knocking down triples at a 45.9 percent clip.
In the first matchup, UNC stymied Hurt to his worst performance of the season, as he finished with seven points and fouled out. The Tar Heels found success by feeding the post early, which put Hurt into foul trouble and took away his offensive rhythm.
With four different post options, look for the Tar Heels to make Hurt work defensively early in the game.