With a 23-5 record and a top-10 NCAA NET ranking, the No. 16 North Carolina women’s basketball team has all but guaranteed its spot in the NCAA Tournament.
But with a weekend of basketball remaining before Selection Sunday, the ACC Tournament could go a long way in improving the Tar Heels’ seeding for March Madness. With ESPN’s Bracketology slating eight ACC teams to make the Big Dance, there will be plenty of opportunities for resume-defining wins.
On Friday, North Carolina will have a chance to earn one of those wins against fellow March-hopeful Virginia Tech. And if the Tar Heels win that game, things won’t get any easier, as they’ll likely face No. 3 N.C. State in the semifinal.
Here are three factors that could determine North Carolina’s success in Greensboro.
Proving they can beat the best
Despite upsetting then-No. 3 Louisville in Carmichael Arena, the Tar Heels have yet to reach the point of consistently beating some of the conference’s better teams. Four of UNC’s five losses have come against ranked opponents, and the fifth — a five-point road loss in Blacksburg, Va. — came against a Hokie side that has shot up to a No. 21 ranking since that contest.
By contrast, the Tar Heels only have two wins against opponents who were ranked at the time they played — the upset over Louisville and a rivalry win against a Duke team that is quickly slipping out of the NCAA Tournament discussion.
The Tar Heels, who are currently slated as five-seed by ESPN, have a realistic chance at improving their seeding before Selection Sunday. In the selection committee's recent top-16 ranking reveal, the Tar Heels were under the four-seed line — likely in large part because of their lack of high-quality wins.
If they’re able to advance in a stacked ACC Tournament field this weekend, every game will be a chance to bolster their NCAA Tournament resume.